{"id":7135,"date":"2019-03-22T12:23:50","date_gmt":"2019-03-22T11:23:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.miljomagasinet.se\/?p=7135"},"modified":"2019-03-22T14:06:24","modified_gmt":"2019-03-22T13:06:24","slug":"anders-wijkman-om-green-new-deal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.miljomagasinet.se\/index.php\/2019\/03\/22\/anders-wijkman-om-green-new-deal\/","title":{"rendered":"Anders Wijkman om Green New Deal"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\u2013 Man kan tvekl\u00f6st s\u00e4ga att klimatarbetet internationellt sett till stor del h\u00e4nger p\u00e5 vad som h\u00e4nder i USA. Om Green New Deal blir verklighet s\u00e5 finns det f\u00f6r f\u00f6rsta g\u00e5ngen i klimat-konventionens historia en \u00e4rlig chans att b\u00f6rja g\u00e5 \u00e5t r\u00e4tt h\u00e5ll, s\u00e4ger Anders Wijkman i en intervju med Milj\u00f6magasinet.\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tAmerikaner visar sitt st\u00f6d f\u00f6r Green New Deal, i en manifestation i kongressen.
Anders Wijkman menar att planen har hyggliga chanser i ett l\u00e4ngre perspektiv.
\nFoto: Becker1999 (is.gd\/Puhi13) \/ CC BY (is.gd\/2eaEG2)\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
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Anders Wijkman om Green New Deal<\/h2>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\u2013 Man kan tvekl\u00f6st s\u00e4ga att klimatarbetet internationellt sett till stor del h\u00e4nger p\u00e5 vad som h\u00e4nder i USA. Om Green New Deal blir verklighet s\u00e5 finns det f\u00f6r f\u00f6rsta g\u00e5ngen i klimat-konventionens historia en \u00e4rlig chans att b\u00f6rja g\u00e5 \u00e5t r\u00e4tt h\u00e5ll, s\u00e4ger Anders Wijkman i en intervju med Milj\u00f6magasinet.\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
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Samtidigt som det\ndemokratiska f\u00f6rslaget till Green New Deal utarbetas och finslipas hemma i USA,\ns\u00e5 kommer positiva reaktioner fr\u00e5n omv\u00e4rlden. Den spanska premi\u00e4rministern\nPedro Sanchez sade till exempel vid World Economic Forum i Davos att den s\u00e5dan\n\u00f6verg\u00e5ng, Green New Deal, inte borde orsaka r\u00e4dsla. Han menade att energi-reformen\nsnarare skulle skapa nya jobbtillf\u00e4llen ist\u00e4llet f\u00f6r att minska dem, som en del\nskeptiker tror. Visionen om en Green New Deal v\u00e4lkomnas ocks\u00e5 av organisationer\nsom Greenpeace och Climate Justice Alliance. Men organisationerna kritiserar\nsamtidigt det amerikanska f\u00f6rslaget, bland annat f\u00f6r att det inte s\u00e4tter ett\nslutdatum p\u00e5 anv\u00e4ndningen av fossila br\u00e4nslen. F\u00f6r att f\u00e5 en svensk synvinkel\np\u00e5 Green New Deal intervjuas h\u00e4r samh\u00e4llsdebatt\u00f6ren och milj\u00f6k\u00e4mpen Anders\nWijkman.<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>

Vad inneb\u00e4r Green New Deal f\u00f6r USA?<\/span><\/b><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>

\u2013 Att USA \u00e4ntligen f\u00e5tt\nett konkret f\u00f6rslag till en radikal klimatpolitik. F\u00f6rslaget har redan \u00f6ver\nhundra underskrifter i kongressen. Enligt planen skall USA:s energisystem vara koldioxidfritt\ntill 2030. En mycket ambiti\u00f6s m\u00e5ls\u00e4ttning, knappast m\u00f6jlig att klara av med\ntanke p\u00e5 allt som m\u00e5ste st\u00e4llas om. N\u00e4r man l\u00e4ser detaljerna blir det dock\nklart att m\u00e5let i f\u00f6rsta hand g\u00e4ller elsystemet. M\u00e5let om ett koldioxidfritt\nelsystem \u00e4r d\u00e4rf\u00f6r mer realistiskt, men elanv\u00e4ndningen omfattar bara 20 procent\nav den totala energioms\u00e4ttningen. Underf\u00f6rst\u00e5tt \u00e4r dock att elanv\u00e4ndningen\nkommer att \u00f6ka kraftigt. Ett fr\u00e5getecken finns n\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller hur man ser p\u00e5\nk\u00e4rnkraftens roll. Det finns \u00e5sikter i b\u00e5da riktningarna, det vill s\u00e4ga att\nk\u00e4rnkraften skall fasas ut respektive att den beh\u00f6vs p\u00e5 marginalen. N\u00e4r det\ng\u00e4ller v\u00e4gtransporterna s\u00e5 har omst\u00e4llningen av den sektorn redan b\u00f6rjat. Men\natt byta ut hela transportflottan till 2030 \u00e4r knappast m\u00f6jligt. Svagheten \u00e4r\nocks\u00e5 att det s\u00e4gs relativt lite om vad som ska ske med industriproduktionen,\nflyget, sj\u00f6farten och jordbruket.<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>

Hur ska den genomf\u00f6ras?<\/span><\/b><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>

\u2013 Genom ett massivt\nprogram f\u00f6r investeringar i f\u00f6rnybar energi, till\u00e4ggsisolering av bost\u00e4der,\nutbyggnad av kollektivtrafik med mer. Vidare \u00f6kade anslag till innovationer och\nny teknik, samt insatser inom jordbruket. Tiotals miljoner jobb ska skapas\ngenom detta och ers\u00e4tta de jobb som g\u00e5r f\u00f6rlorade i fossilindustrin.<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>

Vilken p\u00e5verkan skulle Green New Deal ha p\u00e5 ekonomin?<\/span><\/b><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>

\u2013 Det \u00e4r sv\u00e5rt att s\u00e4ga.\nOlika uppskattningar finns om kostnaderna. F\u00f6rslagets kritiker har sagt att det\nkommer att ruinera ekonomin och att ekonomin skulle f\u00f6rstatligas. En n\u00e5got s\u00e5\nn\u00e4r realistisk siffra landar p\u00e5 en investering i storleksordningen 1000\nmiljarder dollar per \u00e5r i tio \u00e5rs tid. I en ekonomi vars BNP \u00e4r 20 g\u00e5nger\nst\u00f6rre \u00e4r detta inget orimligt belopp, tv\u00e4rtom. Men det kommer att bli en sv\u00e5r\nn\u00f6t att kn\u00e4cka hur stor del som skall finansieras av staten respektive av det\nprivata. Man kunde tycka att hela kostnaden kunde tas via staten, det vill s\u00e4ga\natt sonika trycka nya pengar. Men USA:s ekonomi g\u00e5r p\u00e5 h\u00f6gfart just nu och det\nskulle sannolikt leda till inflation. Under alla f\u00f6rh\u00e5llanden \u00e4r finansieringen\nen kn\u00e4ckfr\u00e5ga.<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>

Hur stora utsl\u00e4ppsminskningar r\u00e4knar man med att Green New Deal skulle\nmedf\u00f6ra?<\/span><\/b><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>

\u2013 Det g\u00f6rs inga direkta\nuppskattningar. Den andel av v\u00e4xthusgaserna som kommer fr\u00e5n elsektorn i USA \u00e4r\nen knapp tredjedel s\u00e5 dessa skulle d\u00e5 f\u00f6rsvinna. En snabb elektrifiering av\ntransportsektorn och b\u00e4ttre isolerade hus skulle dra ned utsl\u00e4ppen med\nytterligare tiotals procent. Efter det \u00e5terst\u00e5r industrin, flyget, sj\u00f6farten\noch jordbruket. Om dessa sektorer s\u00e4gs relativt lite i planen.<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>

Kommer Green New Deal att bli verklighet?<\/span><\/b><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>

\u2013 Politik \u00e4r det\nm\u00f6jligas konst. Det som talar till f\u00f6rm\u00e5n f\u00f6r f\u00f6rslaget, i vart fall i vissa\ndelar, \u00e4r att det snabbt f\u00e5tt starkt st\u00f6d bland demokraterna. Intressant \u00e4r\nocks\u00e5 att f\u00f6rslaget har starkt st\u00f6d hos allm\u00e4nheten enligt olika\ngallupunders\u00f6kningar, inte minst bland unga v\u00e4ljare. I ett l\u00e4ngre\ntidsperspektiv b\u00f6r planen ha hyggliga chanser, men p\u00e5 kort sikt \u00e4r\nf\u00f6ruts\u00e4ttningarna inte s\u00e5 goda. Republikanerna och president Donald Trump \u00e4r\nhelt emot Green New Deal. Presidenten raljerar om f\u00f6rslaget dag ut och dag in.\nD\u00e4rf\u00f6r blir valet h\u00f6sten 2020 mycket viktigt. Man kan tvekl\u00f6st s\u00e4ga att\nklimatarbetet internationellt sett till stor del h\u00e4nger p\u00e5 vad som h\u00e4nder i\nUSA. Om Green New Deal blir verklighet s\u00e5 finns det f\u00f6r f\u00f6rsta g\u00e5ngen i\nklimatkonventionens historia en \u00e4rlig chans att b\u00f6rja g\u00e5 \u00e5t r\u00e4tt h\u00e5ll. Om\nv\u00e4rldens st\u00f6rsta ekonomi, i tandem med Europa tar stora steg f\u00f6r att l\u00e4mna\nfossilekonomin bakom sig tvingas resten av v\u00e4rlden att f\u00f6lja efter. S\u00e5 l\u00e5t oss\nh\u00e5lla tummarna och ge allt t\u00e4nkbart st\u00f6d till de politiker som nu driver p\u00e5 f\u00f6r\natt GND skall bli verklighet.<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>

Liza Ahnland<\/span><\/i><\/b><\/o:p><\/span><\/b><\/p>

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/p>

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tAnders Wijkman \u00e4r en av tv\u00e5 ordf\u00f6rande f\u00f6r Romklubben, har varit bitr\u00e4dande generalsekreterare i FN och policy director f\u00f6r FN:s utvecklingsprogram (UNDP), samt varit riksdagsledamot (M) och Europaparlamentariker (KD).\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u2013 Man kan tvekl\u00f6st s\u00e4ga att klimatarbetet internationellt sett till stor del h\u00e4nger p\u00e5 vad som h\u00e4nder i USA. Om<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":7132,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"pgc_meta":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[16,15,11,4,29,18],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nAnders Wijkman om Green New Deal - MILJ\u00d6MAGASINET<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.miljomagasinet.se\/index.php\/2019\/03\/22\/anders-wijkman-om-green-new-deal\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Anders Wijkman om Green New Deal - MILJ\u00d6MAGASINET\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u2013 Man kan tvekl\u00f6st s\u00e4ga att klimatarbetet internationellt sett till stor del h\u00e4nger p\u00e5 vad som h\u00e4nder i USA. 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